Monday, May 13, 2013

A LOOK AT STATE DI TEAMS WITH ONE WEEK LEFT IN THE REGULAR SEASON

Here's how things shape up for the state's NCAA Division I teams with one weekend - games are Thursday-Saturday - remaining in the regular season.

(In alphabetical order)

Charleston Southern (21-29 overall, 10-11 Big South) - The Buccaneers helped their chances of earning one of eight spots in the conference tournament by winning two of three at Radford. Some rough math indicates CSU could finish as high as a third-place tie, or could miss the tournament all together. With South Division champ Coastal Carolina - which has been hot in recent weeks - visiting for the final regular-season series, the Buccaneers face a challenge if they are to win their way into the tournament.  If they can take one or two from the Chanticleers, the Buccaneers may been in good shape. Otherwise, they're going to need some help.

Clemson (37-15, 17-10 ACC) - How many folks would have been willing to make a bet, say, March 6, that the Tigers would be heading to Tallahassee to closer the regular season with a chance to win the Atlantic Division. That's the scenario for coach Jack Leggett's Tigers, who have bulled their way into the regional host picture.  Clemson is a half-game behind FSU and percentage points behind N.C. State (which lost one game to weather) in the Atlantic Division standings. Since N.C. State closes with Coastal Division cellar-dweller Duke, it probably would be in Clemson's best interests for  FSU to win Monday's series finale at N.C. State  Then, Clemson could win the division by winning the FSU series and getting at least one more win that N.C. State does against Duke. Clemson is in the division title picture as the season winds down, and that's all the Tigers can ask for.

Coastal Carolina (32-18, 16-5 Big South) - The Chanticleers clinched the South Division title and can tie North Division champ Campbell for the overall title by sweeping Charleston Southern. Campbell and Coastal didn't play in the regular season, so I don't know how a tie would be broken for seeding purposes. First things first, though; the Chanticleers are facing a Charleston Southern team still trying to wrap up a tournament spot.

College of Charleston (27-24, 15-11 Southern) - The Cougars could anywhere from second to sixth in the SoCon. Obviously, being second, third or fourth would be preferably because it would mean the Cougars would be the designated home team in their SoCon Tournament opener at Fluor Field.  Georgia Southern could leapfrog the Cougars by sweeping a head-to-head meeting in Mount Pleasant next weekend. If  CofC and Elon finish in a tie for second or third, the Cougars get the tiebreaker because of a 2-1 series victory in the regular season.

Furman (28-23, 14-16 Southern) - The Paladins entered their final conference series against UNC Greensboro needing two wins to qualify for the SoCon Tournament. They promptly were blown out in the first game. The Paladins rebounded to win the final two games, however. The Paladins, who play a nonconference series with Dayton next weekend, are in seventh place. Furman could finish fifth if College of Charleston sweeps Georgia Southern, Appalachian State loses at least two of three to regular-season champ Western Carolina and Samford loses at least one game to Davidson.. A Samford sweep of Davidson and the wrong results in the CofC/Georgia Southern and Appalachian/Western series could relegate the Paladins to eighth place.

Presbyterian (24-28, 10-11 Big South) - The Blue Hose are tied with Charleston Southern in the Big South standings, and face much the same situation as they prepare for a series at Gardner-Webb. PC will fall behind GW in the standings if it doesn't win two of three.  A sweep could put the Blue Hose in contention to be the home team in first-round tournament game.

South Carolina (37-14, 16-10 SEC) - The Gamecocks currently roost at fourth in the Southeastern Conference's overall standings. The league has a new format for it tournament this season. The top 12 teams qualify, with the top four teams receiving an opening-day bye as the other eight teams play a single-elimination round to make the main double-elimination bracket. USC needs one win at Mississippi State next weekend to clinch the fourth seed.  Mississippi State and Mississippi are 2 1/2 games back of USC in the composite standings. If the Gamecocks should go 0-3 in Starkville, they'd be relegated to the play-in day and could finish as low as a tie for sixth.

The Citadel (30-22, 17-10 Southern) - The Bulldogs can't catch Western Carolina for the regular-season title, but can wrap up second place by winning two of three at UNC Greensboro. If the Bulldogs lose two - or three - games to Greensboro, they could finish third or fourth, depending on how College of Charleston does against Georgia Southern

USC Upstate (25-25, 8-16 Atlantic Sun) - The Spartans have some wood to chop if they are to be one of eight qualifiers for the A-Sun Tournament. They are tied for eighth place with Jacksonville, and Jacksonville holds the tiebreaker based on a 2-1 regular-season series win. Upstate plays host to a North Florida team locked in a four-way battle for the regular-season title. Jacksonville must play a road series at East Tennessee State. Upstate has a mathematical chance to finish seventh.

Winthrop (19-32, 7-14 Big South) - It's a long shot and would take several dominoes falling into place, but the Eagles could finish as high as a tie for fifth if they get a road sweep at UNC Asheville. If they don't sweep, they cannot qualify for the tournament.

Wofford (20-34, 10-20 Southern) - Like Furman and Elon, the Terriers are through with conference play. They'll host Old Dominion in a nonconference series to complete the season. The 0-3 weekend series at Western Carolina officially eliminated Wofford from tournament contention.

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